Red Tears Shed on Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (22 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 50
Defender wins (Russian): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 963 | 1013 | 43% | 2025-07-25 | Won |
| 1096 | 1141 | 44% | 2025-07-25 | Won |
| 1139 | 1208 | 40% | 2025-07-25 | Won |
| 1185 | 1018 | 72% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1094 | 1141 | 43% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 956 | 1037 | 39% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
| 889 | 1037 | 30% | 2024-01-03 | Won |
| 1051 | 1089 | 45% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1109 | 991 | 66% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
| 1028 | 892 | 69% | 2020-08-29 | Won |
| 890 | 1070 | 26% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1139 | 48% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1040 | 910 | 68% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1185 | 27% | 2018-04-27 | Won |
| 1082 | 1058 | 53% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
| 977 | 1065 | 38% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 1247 | 1127 | 67% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1151 | 1134 | 52% | 2017-12-27 | Lost |
| 1124 | 996 | 68% | 2017-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1062.3 vs 1069.8 has a 48.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).