Red Tears Shed on Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (Romanian): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2025-07-25 | | Won |
| 1096 | 1226 | 32% | 2025-07-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2025-07-25 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1017 | 77% | 2025-01-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2024-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2024-02-09 | | Won |
| 841 | 984 | 31% | 2024-01-03 | | Won |
| 996 | 1080 | 38% | 2023-08-23 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-02-06 | | Won |
| 1056 | 881 | 73% | 2020-08-29 | | Won |
| 891 | 1041 | 30% | 2020-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2018-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2018-10-05 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1226 | 25% | 2018-04-27 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2018-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2018-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2018-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 958 | 64% | 2018-02-10 | | Won |
| 1050 | 994 | 58% | 2018-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1317 | 1156 | 72% | 2018-01-06 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1178 | 44% | 2017-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1145 | 1000 | 70% | 2017-10-23 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1053.2 vs 1086.3 has a 45.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).