Crickets in Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (31 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 780 | 86% | 2025-01-21 | | Won |
| 994 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-12-04 | | Won |
| 909 | 1077 | 28% | 2023-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1047 | 820 | 79% | 2021-05-06 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-05-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2021-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 989 | 57% | 2020-06-18 | | Won |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2020-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2019-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2019-04-20 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2019-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2018-11-24 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2018-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1044 | 58% | 2018-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2018-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1039 | 63% | 2018-02-18 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-02-03 | | Won |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-01-28 | | Won |
| 1002 | 1220 | 22% | 2018-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2018-01-10 | | Lost |
| 994 | 1050 | 42% | 2017-12-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2017-12-03 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1156 | 31% | 2017-12-02 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2017-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 991 | 69% | 2017-10-21 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1013 | 56% | 2017-10-14 | | Won |
| 1057 | 1170 | 34% | 2017-10-08 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2017-10-03 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1133 | 28% | 2017-01-25 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1069.4 vs 1038.1 has a 54.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).