Lunch in Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (13 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1204 | 32% | 2023-12-21 | Lost |
| 1141 | 970 | 73% | 2023-08-28 | Won |
| 1002 | 999 | 50% | 2023-07-31 | Lost |
| 966 | 910 | 58% | 2020-03-18 | Lost |
| 955 | 1173 | 22% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 975 | 1058 | 38% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1024 | 48% | 2018-08-03 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1229 | 980 | 81% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 974 | 941 | 55% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 945 | 1074 | 32% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1140 | 32% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
| 897 | 1256 | 11% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1027.3 vs 1073.5 has a 43.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).