Lunch in Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (13 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1092 | 1150 | 42% | 2023-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 970 | 79% | 2023-08-28 | | Won |
| 999 | 974 | 54% | 2023-07-31 | | Lost |
| 961 | 921 | 56% | 2020-03-18 | | Lost |
| 954 | 1172 | 22% | 2019-10-21 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2018-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2018-08-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2018-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2018-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2018-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1104 | 49% | 2017-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1141 | 37% | 2017-09-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1289 | 16% | 2017-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1037.7 vs 1082 has a 43.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).