Lunch in Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (12 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1126 | 46% | 2023-12-21 | Lost |
| 1169 | 969 | 76% | 2023-08-28 | Won |
| 974 | 996 | 47% | 2023-07-31 | Lost |
| 973 | 954 | 53% | 2020-03-18 | Lost |
| 973 | 1165 | 25% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 1116 | 31% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 984 | 1084 | 36% | 2018-08-03 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 965 | 919 | 57% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
| 915 | 1250 | 13% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1029 vs 1061.8 has a 45.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).