Operation NIWI
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (8 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 11
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 901 | 70% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2021-08-26 | Won |
| 1115 | 1144 | 46% | 2021-07-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1002 | 47% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1006 | 59% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1037 | 52% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1027 | 901 | 67% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1037 | 48% | 2019-01-25 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1093.8 vs 1005.8 has a 62.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).