The Cost of Non-Compliance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (24 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (German): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1064 | 38% | 2026-01-10 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1010 | 76% | 2025-11-29 | Won |
| 990 | 1005 | 48% | 2024-11-21 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1124 | 50% | 2024-10-27 | Tied |
| 1053 | 999 | 58% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1145 | 1180 | 45% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 973 | 1307 | 13% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 904 | 884 | 53% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1072 | 1125 | 42% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 993 | 44% | 2019-04-21 | Won |
| 1164 | 992 | 73% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 975 | 1102 | 32% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 975 | 1102 | 32% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1068 | 70% | 2017-11-07 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1009 | 57% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1009 | 57% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
| 1057 | 1009 | 57% | 2017-07-19 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 861 | 1098 | 20% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 976 | 1025 | 43% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1056 | 78% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1054 | 66% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1112 | 42% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1064.3 vs 1066.2 has a 49.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).