The Cost of Non-Compliance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (21 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2024-11-21 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1063 | 50% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1106 | 1129 | 47% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 972 | 1298 | 13% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 881 | 885 | 49% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1115 | 1190 | 39% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 1154 | 993 | 72% | 2019-04-21 | Won |
| 1140 | 991 | 70% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 861 | 1128 | 18% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 861 | 1128 | 18% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1002 | 68% | 2017-11-07 | Lost |
| 1016 | 980 | 55% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 1016 | 980 | 55% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
| 1016 | 980 | 55% | 2017-07-19 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 863 | 982 | 34% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 1025 | 44% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1023 | 84% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1185 | 61% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1096 | 43% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1064.4 has a 48.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).