Bolder Than Before
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (18 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (Partisan (Ukrainian)): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1207 | 1010 | 76% | 2025-10-28 | Won |
| 1041 | 1095 | 42% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1274 | 31% | 2022-03-09 | Won |
| 1112 | 990 | 67% | 2022-02-01 | Lost |
| 1082 | 941 | 69% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-11-10 | Won |
| 904 | 884 | 53% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 967 | 980 | 48% | 2020-04-26 | Won |
| 1180 | 1145 | 55% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 1217 | 1134 | 62% | 2020-02-20 | Lost |
| 1128 | 975 | 71% | 2019-05-01 | Won |
| 1020 | 1098 | 39% | 2018-08-19 | Lost |
| 996 | 1037 | 44% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1214 | 973 | 80% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-19 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1064 | 49% | 2017-02-20 | Won |
| 1220 | 1276 | 42% | 2017-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1098.5 vs 1062.8 has a 55.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).