Bolder Than Before
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (17 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (Partisan (Ukrainian)): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1097 | 42% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2022-03-09 | Won |
| 1100 | 970 | 68% | 2022-02-01 | Lost |
| 1081 | 856 | 79% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-11-10 | Won |
| 913 | 884 | 54% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 906 | 1007 | 36% | 2020-04-26 | Won |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2020-02-20 | Lost |
| 1126 | 869 | 81% | 2019-05-01 | Won |
| 1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2018-08-19 | Lost |
| 996 | 1059 | 41% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1189 | 806 | 90% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-19 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 985 | 76% | 2017-02-20 | Won |
| 1209 | 1228 | 47% | 2017-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1088.9 vs 1037.7 has a 57.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).