Bolder Than Before
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (18 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (Partisan (Ukrainian)): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1263 | 1039 | 78% | 2025-10-28 | Won |
| 1041 | 1139 | 36% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2022-03-09 | Won |
| 1112 | 1035 | 61% | 2022-02-01 | Lost |
| 1082 | 908 | 73% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-11-10 | Won |
| 918 | 885 | 55% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 951 | 1008 | 42% | 2020-04-26 | Won |
| 1127 | 1115 | 52% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 1219 | 1136 | 62% | 2020-02-20 | Lost |
| 1127 | 893 | 79% | 2019-05-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 1065 | 45% | 2018-08-19 | Lost |
| 996 | 1040 | 44% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1174 | 1039 | 69% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-19 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1137 | 63% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1013 | 72% | 2017-02-20 | Won |
| 1220 | 1254 | 45% | 2017-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1101.4 vs 1064.3 has a 55.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).