Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (21 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 24
Defender wins (German (SS)): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1054 | 53% | 2025-08-19 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1214 | 42% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 991 | 1342 | 12% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1048 | 53% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1016 | 76% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 878 | 973 | 37% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 865 | 904 | 44% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1064 | 976 | 62% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1169 | 52% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1084 | 927 | 71% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1051 | 1249 | 24% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
| 1020 | 1214 | 25% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1054 | 49% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1020 | 1098 | 39% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1109 | 48% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1102 | 975 | 68% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1084 | 1018 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1055.7 vs 1085.1 has a 45.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).