Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (18 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 23
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1165 | 1189 | 47% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 940 | 1323 | 10% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1017 | 73% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 986 | 986 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 877 | 1004 | 32% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 866 | 914 | 43% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1144 | 44% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1100 | 928 | 73% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1040 | 1189 | 30% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1059 | 53% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1029 | 1060 | 46% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1068 | 59% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1223 | 38% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1193 | 870 | 87% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1079 | 1030 | 57% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1059.4 has a 48.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).