Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (22 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 27
Defender wins (German (SS)): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1078 | 41% | 2026-05-19 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1054 | 55% | 2025-08-19 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1176 | 48% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 984 | 1347 | 11% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1066 | 49% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1012 | 72% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 878 | 1021 | 31% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 866 | 928 | 41% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1182 | 41% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1152 | 907 | 80% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1052 | 1263 | 23% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 1176 | 29% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1077 | 45% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1081 | 1146 | 41% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1030 | 50% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1099 | 992 | 65% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1078 | 1017 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1085.7 has a 45.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).