Dayan to Meet You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (20 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 29
Defender wins (Vichy French): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 914 | 57% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 914 | 866 | 57% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1220 | 25% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1086 | 66% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 979 | 788 | 75% | 2018-12-04 | Won |
| 1313 | 1111 | 76% | 2018-08-08 | Lost |
| 1018 | 852 | 72% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1202 | 53% | 2017-11-10 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1133 | 37% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1009 | 983 | 54% | 2017-06-17 | Lost |
| 976 | 1029 | 42% | 2017-06-16 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1013 | 62% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 983 | 1009 | 46% | 2017-06-05 | Won |
| 1105 | 1144 | 44% | 2017-05-26 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1015 | 53% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1060.9 vs 1027.7 has a 54.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).