Dayan to Meet You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (20 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 29
Defender wins (Vichy French): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 937 | 52% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 937 | 866 | 60% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1219 | 25% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1222 | 1087 | 69% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1025 | 1013 | 52% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 978 | 806 | 73% | 2018-12-04 | Won |
| 1309 | 1096 | 77% | 2018-08-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 880 | 74% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1222 | 50% | 2017-11-10 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1080 | 45% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1009 | 982 | 54% | 2017-06-17 | Lost |
| 975 | 1026 | 43% | 2017-06-16 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1126 | 38% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1025 | 52% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 982 | 1009 | 46% | 2017-06-05 | Won |
| 1153 | 1142 | 52% | 2017-05-26 | Won |
| 1201 | 992 | 77% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1015 | 53% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1063.6 vs 1029.4 has a 54.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).