Dayan to Meet You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (20 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 29
Defender wins (Vichy French): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 918 | 51% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 918 | 866 | 57% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1219 | 25% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1087 | 57% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1089 | 1014 | 61% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 978 | 755 | 78% | 2018-12-04 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2018-08-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 875 | 71% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1139 | 37% | 2017-11-10 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-09-05 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1139 | 37% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2017-06-17 | Lost |
| 976 | 1028 | 43% | 2017-06-16 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1124 | 42% | 2017-06-13 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1089 | 52% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-06-05 | Won |
| 1123 | 1132 | 49% | 2017-05-26 | Won |
| 1196 | 1192 | 51% | 2017-04-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1015 | 53% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1037.3 has a 52.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).