Dayan to Meet You
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (19 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 28
Defender wins (Vichy French): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 872 | 979 | 35% | 2024-01-12 | | Won |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1218 | 24% | 2021-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2020-04-21 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-04-18 | | Lost |
| 990 | 692 | 85% | 2018-12-04 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2018-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 847 | 73% | 2018-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2017-11-10 | | Lost |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2017-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2017-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2017-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2017-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1145 | 48% | 2017-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1058 | 53% | 2017-06-10 | | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-06-05 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2017-05-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2017-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2017-03-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1034.9 vs 1021.7 has a 51.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).