Belgian Blitzkrieg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 116 (37 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 73
Defender wins (Belgian ): 41
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian ): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 957 | 49% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 1010 | 1082 | 40% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1193 | 30% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 1149 | 950 | 76% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 969 | 1087 | 34% | 2024-12-24 | Won |
| 1032 | 943 | 63% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 866 | 937 | 40% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-08-23 | Won |
| 1014 | 1026 | 48% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1061 | 62% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1149 | 1061 | 62% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 991 | 903 | 62% | 2020-02-10 | Won |
| 1029 | 1040 | 48% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1014 | 1282 | 18% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
| 1040 | 1094 | 42% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 1084 | 41% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1020 | 911 | 65% | 2017-08-19 | Lost |
| 978 | 1084 | 35% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 1089 | 896 | 75% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 957 | 965 | 49% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1010 | 68% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 983 | 1148 | 28% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1148 | 28% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 982 | 1009 | 46% | 2017-05-27 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1082 | 69% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 982 | 1009 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Won |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1081 | 1133 | 43% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 889 | 1215 | 13% | 2017-04-22 | Won |
| 1126 | 1038 | 62% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
| 1096 | 1316 | 22% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1029 | 52% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1210 | 26% | 2017-03-07 | Won |
| 1061 | 973 | 62% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1044.4 vs 1055.6 has a 48.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).