Belgian Blitzkrieg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (37 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 74
Defender wins (Belgian ): 42
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Belgian ): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 957 | 49% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 1073 | 1133 | 41% | 2025-01-29 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1279 | 26% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 1167 | 911 | 81% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 971 | 1124 | 29% | 2024-12-24 | Won |
| 954 | 944 | 51% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 866 | 914 | 43% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1035 | 69% | 2020-08-23 | Won |
| 1167 | 1062 | 65% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1167 | 1062 | 65% | 2020-04-05 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2020-02-10 | Won |
| 1057 | 1004 | 58% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1016 | 1264 | 19% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
| 1040 | 1093 | 42% | 2017-08-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 1082 | 42% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1020 | 896 | 67% | 2017-08-19 | Lost |
| 1086 | 898 | 75% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 978 | 1082 | 35% | 2017-08-04 | Won |
| 977 | 966 | 52% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2017-07-22 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1149 | 36% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1149 | 36% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 1009 | 46% | 2017-05-27 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1133 | 61% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 983 | 1009 | 46% | 2017-04-29 | Won |
| 1132 | 954 | 74% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1100 | 1105 | 49% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 881 | 1193 | 14% | 2017-04-22 | Won |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1060 | 57% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
| 1004 | 1057 | 42% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 954 | 1189 | 21% | 2017-03-07 | Won |
| 977 | 1001 | 47% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2017-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1054.2 has a 48.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).