Fireball!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (7 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1039 | 44% | 2023-03-31 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1040 | 939 | 64% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 934 | 1040 | 35% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1040 | 1014 | 54% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1029 | 71% | 2017-11-24 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1030.9 vs 1024.7 has a 50.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).