Propitious Arrival
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (3 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (French): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1002 | 51% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
| 1148 | 904 | 80% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1176 | 1037 | 69% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1110.7 vs 981 has a 67.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).