Hitdorf on the Rhine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (12 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2026-04-12 | | Won |
| 982 | 919 | 59% | 2024-06-15 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1040 | 35% | 2022-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2021-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1111 | 47% | 2020-11-28 | | Lost |
| 924 | 1172 | 19% | 2020-10-09 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2019-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1035 | 65% | 2018-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2018-07-31 | | Won |
| 1218 | 870 | 88% | 2018-07-18 | | Won |
| 992 | 1143 | 30% | 2017-02-22 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1147 | 27% | 2016-09-21 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1045.4 has a 47.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).