Hitdorf on the Rhine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (11 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
982 | 960 | 53% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
913 | 1030 | 34% | 2022-10-31 | Lost |
1181 | 996 | 74% | 2021-04-05 | Lost |
996 | 997 | 50% | 2020-11-28 | Lost |
924 | 1173 | 19% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
869 | 887 | 47% | 2019-03-11 | Lost |
1219 | 1035 | 74% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
1121 | 1094 | 54% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
1219 | 907 | 86% | 2018-07-18 | Won |
869 | 1219 | 12% | 2017-02-22 | Lost |
967 | 1157 | 25% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1023.6 vs 1041.4 has a 47.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).