Abandon Ship!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (16 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (American): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 942 | 57% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 898 | 898 | 50% | 2024-11-06 | Won |
| 940 | 960 | 47% | 2023-07-15 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1141 | 40% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 997 | 996 | 50% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1073 | 53% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1181 | 996 | 74% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1087 | 960 | 68% | 2020-12-27 | Lost |
| 989 | 933 | 58% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1133 | 1137 | 49% | 2020-06-23 | Lost |
| 1079 | 959 | 67% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
| 1032 | 1219 | 25% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2018-05-30 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1110 | 1009 | 64% | 2012-05-15 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1055.3 vs 1033.1 has a 53.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).