Zon with the Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 115 (52 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 56
Defender wins (German): 58
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1063 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 1080 | 972 | 65% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 1116 | 1134 | 47% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2023-04-21 | Won |
| 1047 | 953 | 63% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 996 | 1250 | 19% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 996 | 46% | 2022-09-14 | Lost |
| 1046 | 959 | 62% | 2022-08-25 | Won |
| 948 | 1192 | 20% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 969 | 1031 | 41% | 2022-07-28 | Won |
| 1048 | 1147 | 36% | 2022-05-16 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1017 | 49% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1007 | 54% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 925 | 1018 | 37% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-04-13 | Won |
| 954 | 923 | 54% | 2022-03-21 | Lost |
| 977 | 1146 | 27% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 905 | 923 | 47% | 2022-01-09 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1151 | 1016 | 69% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 954 | 897 | 58% | 2021-07-27 | Won |
| 873 | 923 | 43% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
| 998 | 1259 | 18% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 923 | 940 | 48% | 2021-03-19 | Lost |
| 1034 | 945 | 63% | 2021-02-17 | Won |
| 952 | 1130 | 26% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1024 | 47% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 940 | 1250 | 14% | 2020-03-25 | Won |
| 873 | 923 | 43% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1046 | 996 | 57% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 916 | 1142 | 21% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1138 | 923 | 78% | 2019-06-09 | Lost |
| 980 | 1046 | 41% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 923 | 976 | 42% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1003 | 911 | 63% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 881 | 999 | 34% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1046 | 934 | 66% | 2018-09-08 | Won |
| 1116 | 1034 | 62% | 2018-08-13 | Lost |
| 972 | 981 | 49% | 2018-02-26 | Won |
| 978 | 923 | 58% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
| 917 | 999 | 38% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
| 917 | 999 | 38% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1214 | 38% | 2017-05-11 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1214 | 44% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
| 999 | 975 | 53% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 874 | 996 | 33% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 870 | 881 | 48% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
| 881 | 999 | 34% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1100 | 46% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1010.9 vs 1039.3 has a 45.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).