Zon with the Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (56 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 61
Defender wins (German): 62
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2024-12-02 | | Won |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2024-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1053 | 1000 | 58% | 2024-03-10 | | Won |
| 1159 | 943 | 78% | 2024-01-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2024-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2023-10-29 | | Won |
| 993 | 891 | 64% | 2023-05-19 | | Won |
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2023-04-21 | A | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-12-29 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1258 | 18% | 2022-10-30 | | Lost |
| 970 | 989 | 47% | 2022-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2022-08-25 | | Won |
| 946 | 1227 | 17% | 2022-07-31 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-07-28 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2022-05-04 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2022-04-20 | | Lost |
| 925 | 1018 | 37% | 2022-04-14 | | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-04-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2022-03-21 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-01-22 | | Lost |
| 893 | 966 | 40% | 2022-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-10-09 | | Won |
| 1252 | 1019 | 79% | 2021-10-08 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-07-27 | | Won |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2021-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1170 | 44% | 2021-04-11 | | Won |
| 944 | 932 | 52% | 2021-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1000 | 55% | 2021-02-17 | | Won |
| 947 | 1126 | 26% | 2020-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1013 | 49% | 2020-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1258 | 19% | 2020-03-25 | | Won |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2020-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-01-03 | | Won |
| 916 | 1138 | 22% | 2019-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1162 | 966 | 76% | 2019-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2019-06-08 | | Lost |
| 966 | 975 | 49% | 2019-05-26 | | Won |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2019-02-03 | | Lost |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2018-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-09-08 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1035 | 59% | 2018-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-05-10 | | Lost |
| 974 | 981 | 49% | 2018-02-26 | | Won |
| 979 | 966 | 52% | 2017-11-09 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2017-11-04 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2017-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1218 | 42% | 2017-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1218 | 37% | 2017-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2017-04-25 | | Lost |
| 992 | 944 | 57% | 2017-03-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2017-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-01-01 | | Won |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2016-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1120 | 42% | 2011-10-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1024.9 vs 1032.3 has a 48.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).