Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (19 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (American): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1248 | 1198 | 57% | 2025-09-23 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1087 | 72% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1179 | 988 | 75% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1001 | 1004 | 50% | 2024-02-26 | Lost |
| 878 | 857 | 53% | 2024-02-20 | Lost |
| 1004 | 997 | 51% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1055 | 907 | 70% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1004 | 970 | 55% | 2022-10-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-09-14 | Won |
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2021-11-30 | Won |
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2021-11-28 | Won |
| 980 | 1004 | 47% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 879 | 875 | 51% | 2021-09-09 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1212 | 42% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
| 1045 | 975 | 60% | 2020-05-25 | Won |
| 1031 | 1216 | 26% | 2019-02-17 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-11-27 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1059 | 69% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1017.7 has a 54.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).