Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (19 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (American): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1223 | 1212 | 52% | 2025-09-23 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1074 | 70% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1232 | 988 | 80% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1001 | 1036 | 45% | 2024-02-26 | Lost |
| 875 | 875 | 50% | 2024-02-20 | Lost |
| 1036 | 997 | 56% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1039 | 918 | 67% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1036 | 970 | 59% | 2022-10-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2022-09-14 | Won |
| 946 | 864 | 62% | 2021-11-30 | Won |
| 946 | 864 | 62% | 2021-11-28 | Won |
| 968 | 1036 | 40% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 891 | 876 | 52% | 2021-09-09 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1209 | 43% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2020-05-25 | Won |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2019-02-17 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1183 | 30% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-11-27 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1059 | 62% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1029.9 has a 51.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).