Strayer's Strays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (51 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 58
Defender wins (German): 51
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1055 | 52% | 2024-12-21 | Lost |
| 964 | 1036 | 40% | 2024-12-21 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1046 | 51% | 2024-05-15 | Lost |
| 939 | 903 | 55% | 2024-01-08 | Won |
| 1147 | 1248 | 36% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-11-08 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1149 | 50% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 1152 | 1149 | 50% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 873 | 863 | 51% | 2023-02-20 | Won |
| 968 | 1044 | 39% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1046 | 959 | 62% | 2022-12-31 | Won |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2022-09-06 | Lost |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2022-09-05 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1031 | 968 | 59% | 2022-07-28 | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 1061 | 1025 | 55% | 2022-02-10 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1023 | 55% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 962 | 1085 | 33% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1109 | 37% | 2021-09-30 | Won |
| 1144 | 1134 | 51% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2021-09-13 | Won |
| 1004 | 881 | 67% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
| 897 | 952 | 42% | 2021-07-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 1018 | 47% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 1052 | 940 | 66% | 2021-04-09 | Won |
| 1163 | 1144 | 53% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1031 | 79% | 2020-09-02 | Won |
| 971 | 943 | 54% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 985 | 1014 | 46% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1116 | 992 | 67% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
| 1116 | 992 | 67% | 2020-03-18 | Lost |
| 878 | 903 | 46% | 2020-01-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1152 | 39% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2019-04-28 | Won |
| 1189 | 1036 | 71% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 940 | 1046 | 35% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
| 1049 | 998 | 57% | 2019-03-14 | Won |
| 927 | 971 | 44% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
| 1116 | 957 | 71% | 2018-08-29 | Lost |
| 903 | 1015 | 34% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 972 | 973 | 50% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 956 | 943 | 52% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1223 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 903 | 57% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1073 | 61% | 2017-02-25 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1152 | 39% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2016-12-09 | Lost |
| 1336 | 1121 | 78% | 2016-11-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1036 | 57% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1049.6 vs 1022.7 has a 53.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).