Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2025-04-14 | Won |
| 991 | 1028 | 45% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 1125 | 1012 | 66% | 2024-08-07 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1040 | 52% | 2024-05-03 | Won |
| 1046 | 1050 | 49% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 1008 | 996 | 52% | 2024-01-06 | Won |
| 1116 | 1152 | 45% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1020 | 49% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1080 | 968 | 66% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1046 | 1035 | 52% | 2022-08-28 | Won |
| 959 | 1046 | 38% | 2022-08-13 | Lost |
| 873 | 969 | 37% | 2022-08-05 | Lost |
| 1046 | 943 | 64% | 2022-05-15 | Won |
| 922 | 960 | 45% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 997 | 996 | 50% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 939 | 903 | 55% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1144 | 1163 | 47% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2020-04-19 | Won |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2019-11-06 | Lost |
| 1181 | 996 | 74% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
| 1218 | 1108 | 65% | 2019-02-26 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1219 | 26% | 2018-05-17 | Lost |
| 887 | 869 | 53% | 2018-02-12 | Won |
| 1219 | 1115 | 65% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 1094 | 1045 | 57% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-09-21 | Won |
| 903 | 1020 | 34% | 2017-04-29 | Won |
| 903 | 949 | 43% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 869 | 1019 | 30% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1088 | 996 | 63% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1040.1 vs 1045.1 has a 49.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).