The T-Patchers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1254 | 1299 | 44% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1038 | 1213 | 27% | 2024-06-30 | Won |
| 958 | 936 | 53% | 2023-12-14 | Lost |
| 1033 | 879 | 71% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 1053 | 1109 | 42% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1028 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1109 | 1030 | 61% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
| 1167 | 888 | 83% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1167 | 888 | 83% | 2018-03-01 | Won |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
| 988 | 927 | 59% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
| 1091 | 1047 | 56% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1085.2 vs 1032.6 has a 57.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).