Silence That Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 433 (34 on the archive and 399 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 164
Defender wins (German): 269
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 970 | 50% | 2025-05-29 | Won |
| 977 | 1107 | 32% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1180 | 55% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
| 916 | 989 | 40% | 2022-07-28 | Lost |
| 951 | 939 | 52% | 2022-06-02 | Lost |
| 1013 | 898 | 66% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 997 | 1015 | 47% | 2021-12-29 | Won |
| 1256 | 960 | 85% | 2021-12-29 | Won |
| 1058 | 1047 | 52% | 2021-12-23 | Won |
| 864 | 942 | 39% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1256 | 23% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
| 942 | 1198 | 19% | 2021-02-17 | Won |
| 1076 | 942 | 68% | 2021-02-15 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1047 | 77% | 2021-02-05 | Lost |
| 912 | 927 | 48% | 2020-11-18 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2020-11-11 | Won |
| 943 | 971 | 46% | 2020-09-09 | Lost |
| 893 | 916 | 47% | 2020-05-19 | Won |
| 951 | 924 | 54% | 2020-03-19 | Lost |
| 927 | 854 | 60% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 942 | 864 | 61% | 2020-02-26 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1104 | 54% | 2019-11-07 | Lost |
| 1096 | 912 | 74% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1159 | 1256 | 36% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 951 | 942 | 51% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 1107 | 879 | 79% | 2017-01-09 | Won |
| 1107 | 919 | 75% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1046 | 919 | 68% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1090 | 1107 | 48% | 2016-10-30 | Won |
| 1256 | 1186 | 60% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 967 | 927 | 56% | 2015-10-26 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1025.1 vs 1003.6 has a 53.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).