Defiance on Hill 30
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 971 | 1159 | 25% | 2024-06-16 | Won |
| 1135 | 1120 | 52% | 2024-06-08 | Won |
| 930 | 930 | 50% | 2024-01-29 | Won |
| 858 | 930 | 40% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 1030 | 969 | 59% | 2023-03-27 | Lost |
| 1020 | 930 | 63% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
| 1044 | 969 | 61% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1031 | 969 | 59% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
| 965 | 930 | 55% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 966 | 963 | 50% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1226 | 37% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 943 | 917 | 54% | 2021-08-26 | Lost |
| 1260 | 990 | 83% | 2021-07-09 | Won |
| 1110 | 990 | 67% | 2021-07-05 | Won |
| 950 | 847 | 64% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
| 971 | 1242 | 17% | 2020-11-27 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1007 | 52% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1131 | 37% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 1090 | 968 | 67% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
| 950 | 847 | 64% | 2020-02-24 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1034 | 69% | 2019-12-06 | Won |
| 1058 | 967 | 63% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 930 | 1002 | 40% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 1031 | 45% | 2018-08-22 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1135 | 36% | 2018-06-18 | Lost |
| 861 | 888 | 46% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1018 | 930 | 62% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 955 | 931 | 53% | 2017-01-13 | Lost |
| 991 | 1091 | 36% | 2016-11-13 | Won |
| 868 | 847 | 53% | 2016-10-15 | Won |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
| 968 | 931 | 55% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
| 1091 | 931 | 72% | 2016-01-26 | Won |
| 991 | 1260 | 18% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1009.8 vs 1006.3 has a 50.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).