Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Polish): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
862 | 960 | 36% | 2020-12-14 | Won |
877 | 996 | 34% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
1046 | 1027 | 53% | 2018-07-03 | Won |
1157 | 1019 | 69% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
1219 | 1145 | 60% | 2018-05-03 | Won |
996 | 1231 | 21% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
987 | 1223 | 20% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1020.6 vs 1085.9 has a 40.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).