Turned Back at Tylicz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (16 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovak): 5
Defender wins (Polish): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1014 | 61% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1139 | 38% | 2021-09-08 | Lost |
| 904 | 971 | 40% | 2021-08-18 | Won |
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1091 | 69% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 1219 | 993 | 79% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 1035 | 47% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1135 | 36% | 2020-04-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1192 | 38% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1030 | 1219 | 25% | 2020-02-21 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1135 | 36% | 2019-04-01 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1192 | 51% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1153 | 990 | 72% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1124 | 42% | 2016-05-10 | Lost |
| 927 | 844 | 62% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1051 | 41% | 2016-03-31 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1067.8 vs 1072.1 has a 49.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).