Turned Back at Tylicz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (16 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovak): 5
Defender wins (Polish): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1177 | 33% | 2021-09-08 | Lost |
| 904 | 971 | 40% | 2021-08-18 | Won |
| 1046 | 1054 | 49% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1092 | 69% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 1217 | 993 | 78% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 990 | 53% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1135 | 36% | 2020-04-01 | Lost |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1021 | 1217 | 24% | 2020-02-21 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1135 | 36% | 2019-04-01 | Lost |
| 1214 | 973 | 80% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1164 | 947 | 78% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1125 | 46% | 2016-05-10 | Lost |
| 903 | 845 | 58% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1045 | 41% | 2016-03-31 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1070.3 vs 1053.8 has a 52.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).