Turned Back at Tylicz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (16 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovak): 17
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1200 | 30% | 2021-09-08 | Lost |
| 904 | 971 | 40% | 2021-08-18 | Won |
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1091 | 69% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 1219 | 993 | 79% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1135 | 36% | 2020-04-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 947 | 76% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1029 | 1219 | 25% | 2020-02-21 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1135 | 36% | 2019-04-01 | Lost |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2016-05-10 | Lost |
| 950 | 844 | 65% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1052 | 40% | 2016-03-31 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065.2 vs 1047.1 has a 52.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).