Killer Carp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2024-04-06 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1182 | 26% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 863 | 1077 | 23% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1079 | 43% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 976 | 1014 | 45% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 863 | 965 | 36% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 1176 | 1021 | 71% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1123 | 975 | 70% | 2017-07-02 | Won |
| 1019 | 1070 | 43% | 2016-08-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 1059 | 39% | 2016-06-21 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1010.7 vs 1047.8 has a 44.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).