Killer Carp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2024-04-06 | Lost |
| 999 | 1256 | 19% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 864 | 1032 | 28% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1198 | 30% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 999 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 864 | 878 | 48% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 1218 | 979 | 80% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1116 | 995 | 67% | 2017-07-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 1058 | 44% | 2016-08-05 | Lost |
| 981 | 1058 | 39% | 2016-06-21 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1016.4 vs 1050.3 has a 45.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).