Killer Carp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2024-04-06 | Lost |
| 991 | 1238 | 19% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 863 | 1048 | 26% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1044 | 46% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1223 | 29% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1022 | 1009 | 52% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 864 | 998 | 32% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 1189 | 957 | 79% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1128 | 1011 | 66% | 2017-07-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 1109 | 37% | 2016-08-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 1058 | 39% | 2016-06-21 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1001.5 vs 1063.5 has a 41.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).