Ceramic City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (20 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1122 | 51% | 2025-03-26 | Lost |
| 925 | 925 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1182 | 42% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1252 | 996 | 81% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 920 | 1133 | 23% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1202 | 31% | 2019-10-15 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1020 | 54% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 938 | 1075 | 31% | 2018-08-16 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1118 | 64% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1006 | 70% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 998 | 939 | 58% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1090 | 1202 | 34% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 991 | 1099 | 35% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
| 974 | 1001 | 46% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1170 | 29% | 2016-10-10 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1057 | 42% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1080 | 47% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1049.1 vs 1067.4 has a 47.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).