Ceramic City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (20 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 29
Defender wins (Polish): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1088 | 56% | 2025-03-26 | Lost |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1182 | 31% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1220 | 999 | 78% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 920 | 967 | 43% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1170 | 34% | 2019-10-15 | Lost |
| 998 | 1018 | 47% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1166 | 49% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 1009 | 974 | 55% | 2018-08-16 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1009 | 77% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 1123 | 968 | 71% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 884 | 930 | 43% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1073 | 1170 | 36% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1022 | 50% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
| 974 | 1005 | 46% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1208 | 26% | 2016-10-10 | Lost |
| 973 | 1048 | 39% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1044 | 44% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1042.1 vs 1050.2 has a 48.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).