The Deadly Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2025-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1329 | 38% | 2024-02-17 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1080 | 59% | 2024-02-10 | | Won |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-03-08 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1135 | 62% | 2020-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-04-09 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1103 | 32% | 2020-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2018-10-05 | | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2018-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1058 | 42% | 2017-10-05 | | Won |
| 1283 | 1000 | 84% | 2017-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1071 | 43% | 2017-05-11 | | Won |
| 972 | 1343 | 11% | 2016-06-24 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1343 | 9% | 2016-06-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1047 vs 1101.5 has a 42.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).