Katyusha's Embrace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (17 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German/Romanian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 729 | 1283 | 4% | 2026-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2022-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1048 | 1133 | 38% | 2022-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 1054 | 52% | 2020-11-01 | | Won |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2020-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2020-07-02 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-01-03 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2018-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1001 | 58% | 2018-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-01-10 | | Won |
| 1134 | 992 | 69% | 2017-03-09 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2017-02-27 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1133 | 26% | 2017-01-29 | | Lost |
| 944 | 1167 | 22% | 2016-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 972 | 63% | 2016-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 960 | 81% | 2014-01-19 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1014.7 vs 1067 has a 42.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).