Konrad Three
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 964 | 77% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1045 | 917 | 68% | 2025-06-18 | Won |
| 991 | 1038 | 43% | 2025-01-17 | Lost |
| 1076 | 964 | 66% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1053 | 991 | 59% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1123 | 1147 | 47% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1023 | 1123 | 36% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 967 | 927 | 56% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1071 | 54% | 2016-10-07 | Won |
| 1176 | 990 | 74% | 2016-07-31 | Won |
| 1170 | 1084 | 62% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 973 | 1071 | 36% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1074.1 vs 1033.9 has a 55.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).