Konrad Three
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1186 | 1083 | 64% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 914 | 62% | 2025-06-18 | Won |
| 991 | 1022 | 46% | 2025-01-17 | Lost |
| 922 | 1083 | 28% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1131 | 41% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1020 | 54% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1120 | 1147 | 46% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 1025 | 1228 | 24% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1067 | 72% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1083 | 55% | 2016-10-07 | Won |
| 1189 | 990 | 76% | 2016-07-31 | Won |
| 1186 | 1083 | 64% | 2016-07-31 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1071 | 49% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1081.6 vs 1077.5 has a 50.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).