Ciao Gurkha Ciao!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1054 | 55% | 2025-01-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 947 | 83% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 967 | 939 | 54% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1089 | 996 | 63% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 952 | 950 | 50% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1089 | 37% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 919 | 1073 | 29% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1169 | 52% | 2018-06-15 | Won |
| 1102 | 930 | 73% | 2018-05-13 | Won |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1045 | 52% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2016-01-04 | Won |
| 1274 | 988 | 84% | 2015-10-23 | Won |
| 1071 | 1274 | 24% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1053 | 53% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1088.5 vs 1030.2 has a 58.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).