Ciao Gurkha Ciao!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 1034 | 62% | 2025-01-04 | Won |
| 1189 | 947 | 80% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 896 | 939 | 44% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1074 | 996 | 61% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1074 | 39% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 920 | 1133 | 23% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1144 | 44% | 2018-06-15 | Won |
| 1193 | 881 | 86% | 2018-05-13 | Won |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1092 | 56% | 2016-01-04 | Won |
| 1313 | 988 | 87% | 2015-10-23 | Won |
| 1100 | 1313 | 23% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1048 | 53% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1086.8 vs 1047 has a 55.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).