A Lion in the Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (British): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2024-06-12 | Tied |
1126 | 952 | 73% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
1183 | 958 | 79% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
1157 | 853 | 85% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
1089 | 956 | 68% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
896 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
1077 | 910 | 72% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
1289 | 1002 | 84% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
1203 | 1225 | 47% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
1050 | 1014 | 55% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
972 | 1223 | 19% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
925 | 1039 | 34% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1084 | 889 | 75% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
1108 | 1110 | 50% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1088 | 997 | 63% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1084.1 vs 1018.5 has a 59.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).