A Lion in the Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (17 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 31
Defender wins (British): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 843 | 965 | 33% | 2025-11-12 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2024-06-12 | Tied |
| 1103 | 913 | 75% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1149 | 858 | 84% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 897 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-08-01 | Lost |
| 1113 | 910 | 76% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1289 | 1041 | 81% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1204 | 1254 | 43% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1183 | 1151 | 55% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1051 | 1011 | 56% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 982 | 1226 | 20% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 1078 | 31% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1203 | 890 | 86% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 1111 | 1122 | 48% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 980 | 65% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1084.6 vs 1032.8 has a 57.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).