Ghostbusters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (25 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (French): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1104 | 1044 | 59% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1015 | 1042 | 46% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1109 | 40% | 2023-08-13 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1135 | 50% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2020-08-01 | Lost |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1110 | 1168 | 42% | 2017-11-02 | Won |
| 897 | 1057 | 28% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1067 | 49% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1010 | 60% | 2016-10-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1189 | 54% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1059 | 61% | 2016-06-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1138 | 46% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1340 | 1145 | 75% | 2016-02-17 | Won |
| 1047 | 1018 | 54% | 2015-12-28 | Won |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2015-11-06 | Won |
| 1226 | 1098 | 68% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 1172 | 1059 | 66% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1124 | 54% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 901 | 75% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 995 | 1078 | 38% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1226 | 34% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
| 1153 | 1135 | 53% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
| 1047 | 1117 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1124.6 vs 1085.9 has a 55.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).