Ghostbusters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (25 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 48
Defender wins (French): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1108 | 1058 | 57% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1055 | 1042 | 52% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1133 | 37% | 2023-08-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1170 | 40% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1105 | 49% | 2020-08-01 | Lost |
| 1220 | 982 | 80% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1220 | 982 | 80% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1153 | 940 | 77% | 2017-11-02 | Won |
| 898 | 1057 | 29% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1066 | 53% | 2017-08-04 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1059 | 53% | 2016-10-10 | Won |
| 1218 | 1202 | 52% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1057 | 58% | 2016-06-20 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1112 | 56% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 1313 | 1144 | 73% | 2016-02-17 | Won |
| 1048 | 1020 | 54% | 2015-12-28 | Won |
| 1313 | 1111 | 76% | 2015-11-06 | Won |
| 1223 | 1098 | 67% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 1173 | 1057 | 66% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1109 | 56% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1099 | 877 | 78% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 995 | 1060 | 41% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1223 | 33% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
| 1137 | 1170 | 45% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
| 1030 | 1079 | 43% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1125 vs 1076.5 has a 56.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).