Start Fall Gelb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (18 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (Belgian): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 1030 | 1095 | 41% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 949 | 1113 | 28% | 2024-05-17 | Lost |
| 1055 | 996 | 58% | 2022-10-17 | Lost |
| 996 | 1055 | 42% | 2022-10-10 | Won |
| 768 | 971 | 24% | 2021-10-06 | Lost |
| 974 | 848 | 67% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 914 | 1061 | 30% | 2020-02-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1059 | 43% | 2019-08-10 | Won |
| 1220 | 1164 | 58% | 2016-11-24 | Won |
| 1220 | 1202 | 53% | 2016-11-23 | Won |
| 1004 | 1126 | 33% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1148 | 1201 | 42% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 927 | 1018 | 37% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2015-10-30 | Lost |
| 914 | 1133 | 22% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1313 | 942 | 89% | 2015-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1014.8 vs 1065.8 has a 42.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).