Hunters at Ylimaa
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (13 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 19
Defender wins (German): 32
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2024-04-02 | Won |
| 973 | 958 | 52% | 2023-11-22 | Lost |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1043 | 46% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 877 | 958 | 39% | 2017-11-21 | Won |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2016-06-15 | Lost |
| 890 | 1219 | 13% | 2016-05-29 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1012 | 74% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1050 | 45% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
| 897 | 1008 | 35% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
| 932 | 1039 | 35% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
| 1080 | 1040 | 56% | 2015-05-04 | Won |
| 1045 | 1110 | 41% | 2015-03-05 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1007.7 vs 1037.2 has a 45.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).