Wildcat Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (30 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 37
Defender wins (Japanese): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1263 | 1008 | 81% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 917 | 882 | 55% | 2025-04-06 | Lost |
| 950 | 1028 | 39% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1139 | 997 | 69% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1018 | 1082 | 41% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2022-06-22 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1035 | 61% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 919 | 1064 | 30% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 951 | 1075 | 33% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1109 | 40% | 2022-04-29 | Lost |
| 1021 | 916 | 65% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1144 | 1263 | 34% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 1056 | 31% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 963 | 75% | 2020-02-21 | Tied |
| 1156 | 1087 | 60% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 879 | 1039 | 28% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1106 | 927 | 74% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 1070 | 1028 | 56% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1127 | 47% | 2016-11-25 | Lost |
| 963 | 925 | 55% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1174 | 1039 | 69% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-09-29 | Won |
| 1138 | 1067 | 60% | 2015-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1046 vs 1040.6 has a 50.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).