Wildcat Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (32 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 38
Defender wins (Japanese): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1090 | 33% | 2026-07-30 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1030 | 71% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 917 | 869 | 57% | 2025-04-06 | Lost |
| 955 | 1077 | 33% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 1031 | 944 | 62% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 959 | 1011 | 43% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 959 | 1011 | 43% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1011 | 959 | 57% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1011 | 959 | 57% | 2023-09-24 | Won |
| 1027 | 1020 | 51% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2022-06-22 | Lost |
| 1129 | 976 | 71% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 919 | 1078 | 29% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 1167 | 22% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 999 | 1138 | 31% | 2022-04-29 | Lost |
| 972 | 1011 | 44% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1161 | 1182 | 47% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 918 | 1029 | 35% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1126 | 991 | 69% | 2020-02-21 | Tied |
| 1065 | 1087 | 47% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 878 | 999 | 33% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1102 | 965 | 69% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 1263 | 1187 | 61% | 2017-08-13 | Won |
| 1041 | 1077 | 45% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1119 | 41% | 2016-11-25 | Lost |
| 963 | 1031 | 40% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1152 | 999 | 71% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1138 | 999 | 69% | 2015-09-29 | Won |
| 1153 | 1070 | 62% | 2015-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1035.7 vs 1049.3 has a 48.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).