Operation Kutuzov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (16 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 1057 | 50% | 2024-06-16 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1101 | 55% | 2022-02-10 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1099 | 41% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 864 | 935 | 40% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1090 | 1202 | 34% | 2017-10-26 | Won |
| 1004 | 1215 | 23% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1105 | 49% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1176 | 1148 | 54% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1205 | 45% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1029 | 54% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1313 | 1011 | 85% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1313 | 1000 | 86% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1106 | 1040 | 59% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
| 1223 | 988 | 79% | 2014-11-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1128.5 vs 1081.9 has a 56.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).