Best Think Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (30 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 54
Defender wins (German): 72
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 812 | 82% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1024 | 977 | 57% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 972 | 981 | 49% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1145 | 32% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1099 | 923 | 73% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 938 | 1174 | 20% | 2020-04-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 938 | 80% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1151 | 926 | 79% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 963 | 1116 | 29% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1130 | 47% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1084 | 55% | 2015-10-11 | Won |
| 1069 | 1167 | 36% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 889 | 1141 | 19% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1214 | 51% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 1125 | 1223 | 36% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 963 | 971 | 49% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
| 998 | 1021 | 47% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 933 | 1106 | 27% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1146 | 47% | 2015-06-24 | Won |
| 1310 | 977 | 87% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1035 | 982 | 58% | 2015-03-20 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1069 | 52% | 2015-02-23 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1100 | 37% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 863 | 982 | 34% | 2014-11-05 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1052.9 vs 1050.8 has a 50.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).