Best Think Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (31 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 56
Defender wins (German): 74
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 698 | 83% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1027 | 989 | 55% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1161 | 40% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 982 | 1146 | 28% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1142 | 951 | 75% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1002 | 1173 | 27% | 2020-04-29 | Won |
| 1173 | 1002 | 73% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1179 | 901 | 83% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 970 | 1090 | 33% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1126 | 46% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 979 | 1084 | 35% | 2015-10-11 | Won |
| 1226 | 1216 | 51% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 891 | 1227 | 13% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1167 | 37% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1226 | 44% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 963 | 971 | 49% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1037 | 66% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 875 | 1119 | 20% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1148 | 38% | 2015-06-24 | Won |
| 1219 | 969 | 81% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1081 | 1146 | 41% | 2015-03-20 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1077 | 45% | 2015-02-23 | Lost |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2015-01-20 | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1152 | 999 | 71% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1120 | 34% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 862 | 1146 | 16% | 2014-11-05 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1057.2 vs 1056 has a 50.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).