Best Think Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (30 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 54
Defender wins (German): 72
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 820 | 81% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1027 | 1011 | 52% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1147 | 32% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 976 | 1039 | 41% | 2020-08-16 | Lost |
| 1079 | 901 | 74% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1025 | 1176 | 30% | 2020-04-29 | Won |
| 1176 | 1025 | 70% | 2020-01-16 | Lost |
| 1143 | 921 | 78% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 975 | 1213 | 20% | 2018-06-12 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1136 | 46% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 953 | 1050 | 36% | 2015-10-11 | Won |
| 1012 | 1167 | 29% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 889 | 1158 | 18% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1219 | 51% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 1125 | 1223 | 36% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1009 | 1137 | 32% | 2015-08-30 | Won |
| 963 | 923 | 56% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1021 | 48% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 913 | 1169 | 19% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1148 | 59% | 2015-06-24 | Won |
| 1302 | 977 | 87% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1026 | 1039 | 48% | 2015-03-20 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1012 | 60% | 2015-02-23 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1168 | 1008 | 72% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1110 | 36% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 861 | 1039 | 26% | 2014-11-05 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 1065.7 has a 47.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).