The Mubo Decision
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 125 (26 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 61
Defender wins (Japanese): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1193 | 938 | 81% | 2023-09-14 | Lost |
| 927 | 920 | 51% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 941 | 1054 | 34% | 2021-11-16 | Lost |
| 941 | 1054 | 34% | 2021-11-16 | Lost |
| 1054 | 941 | 66% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
| 1054 | 941 | 66% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
| 1138 | 941 | 76% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1092 | 1132 | 44% | 2021-02-08 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1092 | 56% | 2021-01-25 | Won |
| 1208 | 1133 | 61% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1082 | 47% | 2019-03-06 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1170 | 29% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 925 | 898 | 54% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2016-03-27 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1004 | 64% | 2015-10-10 | Won |
| 1075 | 1060 | 52% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
| 838 | 998 | 28% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
| 1090 | 949 | 69% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
| 939 | 1252 | 14% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1313 | 23% | 2015-02-22 | Won |
| 1057 | 1025 | 55% | 2015-02-06 | Won |
| 1175 | 1153 | 53% | 2015-01-07 | Won |
| 1301 | 1010 | 84% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 942 | 1075 | 32% | 2014-10-27 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1057 | 55% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1063.3 vs 1051.4 has a 51.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).