An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (20 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1083 | 40% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 893 | 1188 | 15% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1067 | 1012 | 58% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1059 | 58% | 2021-11-29 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1100 | 978 | 67% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1123 | 930 | 75% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1054 | 66% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 882 | 939 | 42% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1012 | 87% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1072 | 1245 | 27% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1067 | 907 | 72% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
| 938 | 969 | 46% | 2015-02-01 | Lost |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 1015 | 1140 | 33% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 1011 | 890 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 1126 | 46% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 970 | 1073 | 36% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1064.2 vs 1046.2 has a 52.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).