An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (20 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1075 | 46% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 893 | 1180 | 16% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1089 | 1013 | 61% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1111 | 46% | 2021-11-29 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1143 | 48% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1055 | 977 | 61% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1183 | 954 | 79% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1039 | 68% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 902 | 939 | 45% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1012 | 86% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1112 | 1245 | 32% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1028 | 59% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1067 | 907 | 72% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
| 938 | 951 | 48% | 2015-02-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 1015 | 1152 | 31% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 1011 | 890 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
| 1055 | 1128 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 970 | 1050 | 39% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1044.7 has a 52.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).