Mile Peg 61
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (14 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 25
Defender wins (Australian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 1177 | 49% | 2026-10-24 | | Won |
| 960 | 1058 | 36% | 2026-10-23 | | Won |
| 1177 | 1059 | 66% | 2022-11-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2022-02-24 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1039 | 39% | 2018-07-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2018-01-27 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1136 | 29% | 2017-07-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2017-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2016-02-05 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2015-10-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2015-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2015-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 938 | 67% | 2014-10-11 | | Won |
| 891 | 1133 | 20% | 2014-10-08 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1025.2 vs 1068.4 has a 43.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).