To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (9 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1044 | 58% | 2026-08-18 | | Won |
| 1054 | 1068 | 48% | 2021-01-07 | | Won |
| 1012 | 1056 | 44% | 2019-08-03 | | Won |
| 874 | 1291 | 8% | 2018-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2017-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1056 | 43% | 2017-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1134 | 37% | 2015-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2015-01-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 937 | 59% | 2014-09-20 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1011.8 vs 1061.3 has a 42.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).