City on the Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (18 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (American): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 886 | 856 | 54% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 1181 | 1022 | 71% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 960 | 1087 | 32% | 2025-01-08 | Won |
| 1089 | 1050 | 56% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 1073 | 956 | 66% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 856 | 1073 | 22% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 996 | 1132 | 31% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1228 | 24% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 1257 | 20% | 2021-11-21 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1018 | 80% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 922 | 1030 | 35% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1152 | 1147 | 51% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1154 | 45% | 2020-10-21 | Won |
| 1336 | 1000 | 87% | 2017-03-10 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1067 | 1116 | 43% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1060.8 vs 1080.4 has a 47.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).