City on the Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (American): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2025-06-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2025-02-28 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1031 | 75% | 2025-01-17 | | Won |
| 954 | 1103 | 30% | 2025-01-08 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-11-27 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2022-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 977 | 69% | 2022-02-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2022-02-19 | | Lost |
| 998 | 1198 | 24% | 2021-12-08 | | Won |
| 984 | 1281 | 15% | 2021-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1281 | 984 | 85% | 2021-11-12 | | Won |
| 901 | 1024 | 33% | 2021-11-11 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-12-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2020-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2020-10-21 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2017-03-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2015-04-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2014-12-30 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1044.8 vs 1064.3 has a 47.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).