City on the Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (19 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (American): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 973 | 56% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 964 | 940 | 53% | 2025-02-28 | Won |
| 1226 | 1038 | 75% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 879 | 1106 | 21% | 2025-01-08 | Won |
| 1035 | 1044 | 49% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 940 | 1082 | 31% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1023 | 57% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 1042 | 1117 | 39% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1180 | 26% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1024 | 1254 | 21% | 2021-11-21 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1024 | 79% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 895 | 1023 | 32% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1174 | 1138 | 55% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1110 | 52% | 2020-10-21 | Won |
| 1340 | 1000 | 88% | 2017-03-10 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1117 | 1109 | 51% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1047 | 1118 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1067.2 vs 1078.3 has a 48.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).