Forcing the Berezina
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1183 | 958 | 79% | 2022-12-30 | Won |
1012 | 1149 | 31% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
1002 | 1054 | 43% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 1053.7 has a 51.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).