End of the Beginning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Japanese): 5
Defender wins (British): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2026-03-19 | | Won |
| 932 | 1102 | 27% | 2021-02-20 | | Lost |
| 820 | 1140 | 14% | 2020-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1043 | 63% | 2019-10-23 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1055 | 49% | 2019-04-14 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2015-05-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2014-11-15 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2014-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2014-07-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2014-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1205 | 30% | 2014-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1071 | 42% | | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1023.7 vs 1104.5 has a 38.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).