Heart of Wilderness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (17 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2025-04-17 | Won |
| 959 | 957 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1057 | 50% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
| 996 | 957 | 56% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 897 | 1086 | 25% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
| 1082 | 1018 | 59% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1072 | 1061 | 52% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1130 | 47% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 949 | 1114 | 28% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 940 | 1156 | 22% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1151 | 953 | 76% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1151 | 1206 | 42% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1132 | 1156 | 47% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
| 984 | 1093 | 35% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1221 | 20% | 2014-12-08 | Lost |
| 818 | 998 | 26% | 2014-06-21 | Won |
| 1189 | 957 | 79% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1036.1 vs 1065.4 has a 45.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).