Heart of Wilderness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (17 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 47
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2025-04-17 | Won |
| 959 | 1042 | 38% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 897 | 1072 | 27% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
| 1082 | 1018 | 59% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1084 | 1063 | 53% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1143 | 54% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 969 | 1113 | 30% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1169 | 1110 | 58% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1151 | 954 | 76% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1151 | 1207 | 42% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1104 | 1110 | 49% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
| 984 | 1109 | 33% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2014-12-08 | Lost |
| 819 | 879 | 41% | 2014-06-21 | Won |
| 1226 | 1042 | 74% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1057.2 vs 1063.6 has a 49.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).