Heart of Wilderness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (17 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 47
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2025-04-17 | Won |
| 959 | 902 | 58% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2023-09-08 | Won |
| 986 | 1021 | 45% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 897 | 1102 | 24% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
| 1082 | 1018 | 59% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1075 | 1063 | 52% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1115 | 51% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 967 | 1115 | 30% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 941 | 1151 | 23% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1152 | 954 | 76% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1152 | 1207 | 42% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1135 | 1151 | 48% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
| 984 | 1108 | 33% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2014-12-08 | Lost |
| 819 | 927 | 35% | 2014-06-21 | Won |
| 1196 | 902 | 84% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1037.1 vs 1057.9 has a 47.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).