War Ensemble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (12 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (British (Gurkha)): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1080 | 44% | 2021-12-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 982 | 58% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1050 | 1049 | 50% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1058 | 1068 | 49% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2014-04-25 | Won |
| 1098 | 940 | 71% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1012 | 51% | 2014-02-07 | Won |
| 1169 | 959 | 77% | 2014-01-25 | Won |
| 1169 | 1142 | 54% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
| 974 | 1309 | 13% | 2013-11-28 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1096 | 53% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 1254 | 1050 | 76% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1097.4 vs 1053.8 has a 56.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).