Splatter Spray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (Italian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-07-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1179 | 27% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-07-23 | Won |
| 941 | 1109 | 28% | 2017-06-11 | Lost |
| 972 | 1178 | 23% | 2016-11-24 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1000 | 72% | 2014-10-24 | Won |
| 932 | 1189 | 19% | 2014-07-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-04-13 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1052 | 43% | 2014-04-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-10-17 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1002.4 vs 1070.7 has a 40.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).