Collecchio
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (20 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / Brazilian): 43
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1215 | 883 | 87% | 2024-08-04 | Won |
| 1133 | 1091 | 56% | 2024-01-17 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1220 | 33% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 1075 | 972 | 64% | 2016-04-01 | Won |
| 998 | 827 | 73% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1100 | 55% | 2016-01-27 | Lost |
| 983 | 1170 | 25% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1066 | 75% | 2015-07-11 | Won |
| 1060 | 965 | 63% | 2014-05-16 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2014-04-25 | Won |
| 1209 | 1313 | 35% | 2014-04-05 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1124 | 44% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
| 1132 | 1085 | 57% | 2014-02-09 | Tied |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2014-02-07 | Tied |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2013-11-25 | Won |
| 1153 | 1122 | 54% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 1059 | 1080 | 47% | 2013-11-02 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1100 | 44% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1118 | 47% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1104.5 vs 1060.4 has a 56.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).