The Red Hammer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2018-07-06 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2015-08-15 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 1170 | 1100 | 60% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1100 | 60% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1223 | 30% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 982 | 1039 | 42% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1057 | 984 | 60% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1036 | 60% | 2013-10-06 | Lost |
| 998 | 1071 | 40% | 2011-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1109.1 vs 1081.5 has a 53.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).