The Red Hammer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1116 | 1094 | 53% | 2018-07-06 | Lost |
1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2015-08-15 | Lost |
1181 | 979 | 76% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
1141 | 1098 | 56% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
1141 | 1098 | 56% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
1078 | 1223 | 30% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
982 | 1043 | 41% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
1098 | 982 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1015 | 984 | 54% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
1152 | 1035 | 66% | 2013-10-06 | Lost |
960 | 1081 | 33% | 2011-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1098.8 vs 1071.6 has a 53.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).