The Roer Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 805 | 75% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 805 | 993 | 25% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1183 | 893 | 84% | 2021-11-26 | Won |
| 1187 | 1094 | 63% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 1103 | 878 | 79% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-10-17 | Won |
| 1060 | 919 | 69% | 2014-10-05 | Won |
| 1149 | 1122 | 54% | 2013-07-14 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1012 | 60% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1063.1 vs 1012.5 has a 57.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).