The Roer Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1010 | 48% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 1010 | 995 | 52% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1193 | 870 | 87% | 2021-11-26 | Won |
| 1217 | 1090 | 68% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 1110 | 877 | 79% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-10-17 | Won |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2014-10-05 | Won |
| 1149 | 1058 | 63% | 2013-07-14 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1041 | 54% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1090.4 vs 1023.4 has a 59.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).