Semper Paratus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (20 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 34
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 986 | 64% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1161 | 868 | 84% | 2024-12-29 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2024-10-20 | Lost |
| 1002 | 981 | 53% | 2022-11-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 1055 | 1018 | 55% | 2022-07-14 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 999 | 994 | 51% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
| 903 | 924 | 47% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 940 | 971 | 46% | 2017-01-04 | Won |
| 1257 | 1014 | 80% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
| 1089 | 915 | 73% | 2013-11-22 | Won |
| 973 | 1161 | 25% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2013-08-09 | Won |
| 1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2013-07-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 1026 | 55% | 2013-07-01 | Won |
| 1026 | 1257 | 21% | 2013-03-22 | Won |
| 1132 | 1161 | 46% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 960 | 803 | 71% | 2013-02-04 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1050.3 vs 1025.8 has a 53.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).