To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (8 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 923 | 970 | 43% | 2024-05-03 | Won |
| 968 | 953 | 52% | 2022-10-22 | Won |
| 1135 | 1139 | 49% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1215 | 39% | 2019-11-24 | Won |
| 755 | 978 | 22% | 2016-05-01 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1140 | 59% | 2015-05-28 | Won |
| 881 | 1096 | 22% | 2013-11-21 | Lost |
| 863 | 977 | 34% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 983.4 vs 1058.5 has a 39.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).