To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (9 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (American): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 921 | 970 | 43% | 2024-05-03 | Won |
| 989 | 959 | 54% | 2022-10-22 | Won |
| 1135 | 1064 | 60% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1064 | 60% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1200 | 50% | 2019-11-24 | Won |
| 722 | 978 | 19% | 2016-05-01 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1140 | 57% | 2015-05-28 | Won |
| 881 | 1096 | 22% | 2013-11-21 | Lost |
| 863 | 987 | 33% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1004.1 vs 1050.9 has a 43.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).